Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.479549 0.524803 0.574275 0.632706 0.700271 0.776476 0.869696
2024-12-22 0.383252 0.443938 0.516250 0.610282 0.731683 0.886630 1.105484
2024-12-29 0.335139 0.405935 0.496366 0.624012 0.806131 1.068343 1.500051
2025-01-05 0.290468 0.362897 0.460084 0.605844 0.830641 1.188358 1.864943
2025-01-12 0.252934 0.322940 0.420227 0.572784 0.822477 1.253116 2.171813
2025-01-19 0.224580 0.291640 0.387448 0.543199 0.811087 1.306657 2.489311
2025-01-26 0.211793 0.280581 0.382150 0.554683 0.870558 1.511461 3.305858
2025-02-02 0.206033 0.278824 0.390200 0.588845 0.979686 1.867445 4.956306
2025-02-09 0.194947 0.267722 0.381874 0.592694 1.030212 2.115897 6.690150
2025-02-16 0.181907 0.252354 0.364774 0.577574 1.036608 2.254598 8.277962
2025-02-23 0.173071 0.242827 0.356332 0.577326 1.076134 2.512525 11.345282
2025-03-02 0.163592 0.231501 0.343648 0.566803 1.088857 2.697067 14.803858
2025-03-09 0.155983 0.223112 0.336055 0.567144 1.133689 3.047650 22.901854
2025-03-16 0.147345 0.212545 0.323882 0.556850 1.150526 3.322997 34.782612
2025-03-23 0.143019 0.208893 0.323883 0.572784 1.246302 4.057529 88.857211
2025-03-30 0.135257 0.198827 0.311062 0.558360 1.249531 4.359508 175.760438
2025-04-06 0.126475 0.186475 0.292974 0.529614 1.201325 4.338092 259.154881
2025-04-13 0.118716 0.175497 0.276760 0.503451 1.155901 4.307788 401.218694
2025-04-20 0.115781 0.172773 0.276135 0.513830 1.233652 5.194667 106999.283150
2025-04-27 0.115146 0.174038 0.283349 0.544375 1.395406 7.159221 NaN
2025-05-04 0.111779 0.170162 0.279949 0.547828 1.460195 8.534709 NaN
2025-05-11 0.107059 0.163563 0.270516 0.534353 1.453503 9.130103 NaN
2025-05-18 0.103883 0.159633 0.266285 0.534136 1.502997 10.724504 NaN